Odds Outlook: Two-time champion Rory McIlroy assumes top spot as betting favorite at RBC Canadian Open
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Rory McIlroy sinks a 33-foot birdie putt on No. 13 at Truist Championship
Written by Mike Glasscott
With red-hot Scottie Scheffler not in the field, Rory McIlroy slides into the role of clear-cut betting favorite this week as the PGA TOUR heads north of the border for the RBC Canadian Open.
A three-time winner in 2025, highlighted by winning the Masters and completing the career Grand Slam, McIlroy headlines the field of 156 players at TPC Toronto. He has won this event twice in the last four tournaments contested, in 2019 (Hamilton Golf & CC) and 2022 (St. George’s). Facing his third different course in his fifth RBC Canadian Open, McIlroy opens at +450 this week at FanDuel Sportsbook as he looks to bounce back from a disappointing T47 finish at the PGA Championship.
Two-time PGA TOUR winner Ludvig Åberg (+1400) rebounded from missing the weekend at the PGA Championship with a T16 at the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday on Sunday. Posting a final-round 66, one stroke off the best round of the day and tournament, he earned his best paycheck since cashing solo seventh at the Masters. The inconsistency of T54-T60-MC between the Masters and the Memorial is the concern. When he’s feeling it from the tee box, his power with the driver provides his advantage on courses with demanding tee shots and length. This parkland design has six par-4 holes playing 480 yards or more, including four stretching past 500 yards.
For years, Canadian fans thought Corey Conners (+2000) would be the native son to become the first winner of their national open since Pat Fletcher in 1954. After Nick Taylor (+5500) holed an eagle putt from 76 feet on the fourth playoff hole to knock out Tommy Fleetwood and win the 2023 edition, every Canadian player was relieved to see the drought end.
Shane Lowry (+2200) rounds out the quartet of players at the top of the board better than +3000. The 2019 runner-up to McIlroy at Hamilton has played in every event since the summer of 2017. The Irishman is looking for his first win on his own ball since that magical week in Northern Ireland at The Open in 2019. The runner-up to McIlroy at Pebble Beach and co-runner-up to Sepp Straka at the Truist Championship the week before the PGA Championship, he owns four top 10s and nine top 25s from 11 weekends this season.
Robert MacIntyre (+3300) won two national opens in 2024, including his own at the Genesis Scottish Open one month after conquering Hamilton Golf & CC. Defending a title for the first time on TOUR, the Scotsman returns in his best form since March. Sharing sixth place on a firm and fast Colonial Country Club layout followed by 72 demanding holes at Muirfield Village (T20), he has cashed in six straight and 12 of 14 on the season. The left-hander, making his second start, joins his Ryder Cup teammate as two of the three players this century to win on debut. Only McIlroy has won on his first two visits.
Sam Burns (+3300) is one of just two Americans to register in the top nine choices. After missing the cut in three consecutive events as winter turned to spring, the five-time winner on TOUR has posted T30 or better in the five events following his T46 at the Masters. Cashing T4 on debut in 2022, he fell short of the weekend in 2023, but he returned in 2024 to add his second top-10 payday (T10) in three starts. The primary defense at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley, before the renovations in 2023, was the green complexes. Navigating difficult greens will be music to the ears of the best putter on TOUR in 2025 via the Strokes Gained metric.
Canadian Taylor Pendrith (+3500) makes his fifth start in his national open and aims to crack the top 20 for the first time. The Presidents Cup player from 2022 and 2024 produced four rounds in the 60s in 2024, resulting in T21, his best payday. He cashed a T5 (PGA Championship) and T12 (Memorial Tournament) in his last two outings and owns four top-10 paychecks in 2025. Ranking fourth in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 17th in SG: Tee to Green, he is one of four Canadians inside the top 50 in the Official World Golf Rankings playing this week.
Presidents Cup stalwart Sungjae Im (+3500) made his RBC Canadian Open debut with solo seventh in 2019. The Korean returns in form and has cashed in eight of his last nine events on TOUR, including T16 last week. The two-time champion on TOUR has not found the winner’s circle since 2021, but he owns three top-five results in 2025. Sitting 17th in SG: Off the Tee, he joins the contingent who excel off the tee and ranks in the top 10 gaining shots when missing greens in regulation.
Welcome to the PGA TOUR, this time as a member, Luke Clanton (+3500)! After wrapping up his distinguished career at Florida State, he makes his professional debut this week. As an amateur, he teed it up 13 times in PGA TOUR events, made the cut in 10, and hit the top 10 in four. Three of his top-10 results included T2 at the 2024 RSM Classic and T2 at the 2024 John Deere Classic. His best 2025 results from five events are T15 at the Farmers Insurance Open and T18 at the Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches. The No. 1 amateur player in the World Golf Amateur Ranking earned his PGA TOUR card by accumulating 20 points through the PGA TOUR U Accelerated program.
Joining McIlroy, MacIntyre and Taylor in the past champions category is Brandt Snedeker (+20000), who shared seventh last week at Memorial with a closing-round 65.
Here's a look at the odds for other notable players, via FanDuel:
- +4000: Harry Hall
- +4500: Mackenzie Hughes (Canada), Keith Mitchell, Thorbjorn Olesen
- +5000: Wyndham Clark
- +5500: Kurt Kitayama
- +6000: Chris Gotterup, Alex Noren
- +6500: Max Homa
- +7000: Jake Knapp, Davis Riley, Johnny Keefer
- +7500: Cameron Young, Niklas Norgaard, Gary Woodland, Michael Thorbjornsen, Justin Rose, Matt Wallace, Rasmus Højgaard, Kevin Yu, Thomas Detry
- +8000: Alex Smalley, Sahith Theegala, Matti Schmid, Eric Cole, Tom Kim, Ryan Fox
- +9000: Taylor Moore, Sam Ryder, Vince Whaley, Mark Hubbard, Byeong Hun An, Ryo Hisatsune
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